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Thoughts on 2019

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Steve Connor
Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 1, 2019 at 6:07:23 pm

I hope everyone had a great holiday break (if you were lucky enough to get one!) So here we are in 2019, amongst other things we should see a new Mac Pro this year, I'm certainly looking forward to seeing what Apple have come up with even if others aren't.

So what are you looking forward to in 2019?


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David Mathis
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 1, 2019 at 10:24:08 pm

My list:

1. A new Mac Pro that actually has ports we need so we don’t need to make the warranty invalid by drilling holes for a headphone jack
2. FCPX with real integration with Motion
3. A role based mixer
4. An alternative to Fusion, not sure what will happen to the standalone version
5. The new COW interface and forum
6. Bill Davis telling us we are holding it wrong 😉
7. More extensions for FCPX
8. Better media management
9. More alternatives to Photoshop
10. Better masking tools for color grading, mask tracking and more color grading tools


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Oliver Peters
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 1, 2019 at 10:40:36 pm

https://digitalfilms.wordpress.com/2019/01/01/the-state-of-the-nle-2019/

My 2 cents

Oliver

Oliver Peters - oliverpeters.com


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Steve Connor
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 1, 2019 at 11:08:25 pm

[Oliver Peters] "My 2 cents"

Nicely written article Oliver, thanks for posting :)


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Oliver Peters
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 2:20:55 am

Thanks and you are welcome.

Oliver

Oliver Peters - oliverpeters.com


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Eric Santiago
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 2:12:55 pm

[Steve Connor] "Nicely written article Oliver, thanks for posting :)"

As always and maybe I don't say it enough.
Great article Oliver ☺

Happy New Year folks!


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Neil Goodman
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 3:01:09 am

2019 for me :

Will probably still be working on Premiere for the most part for better or for worse. Place I work at is still on 2017 so not really concerned with development cause I dont get to play with it.

MC is the only other NLE Im vested in because I pay to keep a current perpetual license current every year at home even though I havent cut anything from home in years but I do tinker with the updates because chances are Ill be using Avid again. I was really happy with the development this last year, latest builds have been stable and smooth - new update looks great with background saving and titler and multicam improvements and makes it so they now have most of the big multi year feature requests out of the way and actually try some new stuff maybe. probably not.

FCPX didnt really do anything to improve actual timeline editing this year so I havent really paid attention. Until the trim tools get a little more sophisticated Im not sure why Id use it over anything else as whatever speed gains i get with the magnetic timeline I lose because trimming is rather cumbersome. I predict there should be a pretty big update this year though. Only have the original 300 invested in this app from 7 years ago and chances are i get sat in a bay with FCPX are slim to none so not really too concerned with how things shake out here.

Davinci is fun to poke at and pretend I know how to color correct but again - not going to probably ever required to use it for at at least the next 5 years if ever.


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Bouke Vahl
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 8:36:48 am

[Neil Goodman] "Davinci is fun to poke at and pretend I know how to color correct but again - not going to probably ever required to use it for at at least the next 5 years if ever."

Resolve has some more advantages, it has an extreme good and fast tracker and unlimited masking / spot correction.
So, if you have to do witness protection / blur out unwanted elements, it's good for that alone. (Just render out individual spots.)
And, also nice, whatever you do in stacking effects, you can clip something in one effect, then bring it back in the next one and nothing is lost. That's plain brilliant.

(I must admit, I don't know how this compares to FCPX)

A must have in your toolbox, even for one shot a month.

Bouke
http://www.videotoolshed.com


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Chris Harlan
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 13, 2019 at 7:17:20 am

I've got the same situation. I live in Premiere-land, but keep upgrading my home MC license just in case. Each year I debate. I actually quite enjoy Premiere, and while I suppose I will be back on Avid at some point, I'm not as certain of it as I used to be.


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Mark Suszko
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 3:21:12 pm

Good overview.

Might want to find-and-replace on one word; changing "empathize" to "emphasize".


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Oliver Peters
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 3:34:03 pm

☺ Thanks.

- Oliver

Oliver Peters - oliverpeters.com


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Joe Marler
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 3, 2019 at 2:03:16 pm

[Oliver Peters] "https://digitalfilms.wordpress.com/2019/01/01/the-state-of-the-nle-2019/

My 2 cents

Oliver"


Oliver, thanks for that nice, well-round article.

Re FCPX optimization for Macs more than cross-platform NLEs, recent versions of Resolve have challenged this long-held notion. We formerly viewed FCPX's hyper-responsive skimmer as something only Apple could achieve by owning the app, hardware and OS, and targeting only Macs. This was seemingly supported by how clunky and slow Premiere is on 4k H264 playback -- ironic for a playback engined called "Mercury".

However Resolve 15.x has a "skimmer" and it's almost as fast as FCPX -- yet it's a cross-platform product. This is an astounding achievement. Blackmagic only controls the application layer -- no kernel extensions, device drivers or add-on hardware was used to accomplish this.

Re FCPX improvements, people tend to emphasize user-facing elements, but it badly needs some significant architectural and media management improvements. Unfortunately these are not "sexy" from a marketing standpoint. From a development (and test) standpoint these tend to be difficult and time-consuming.

The current plugin architecture allows a software error in a single plugin's code to crash the entire host process (FCPX). The more plugins, the more likely this can happen. Ideally the plugins should be run in some sandboxed fashion, similar to how most web browsers run each tab in a separate process address space.

For an app which emphasizes ease of use through UI simplicity, FCPX media management can rapidly become very complex and difficult to understand. One of the worst areas is management of external proxies which cannot be relinked if the drive name or underlying folder structure changes.

Overall FCPX data integrity is amazingly good (in terms of not losing edits). However there are an uncomfortable number of reports of lost render files, red clips, black clips, red clips that play, red audio which won't play, red audio which *will* play, etc. This can't all be blamed on hardware -- I've had all these on a variety of machines.

From a software development and management standpoint, these things are "hard problems". They may need the OS guys to fix something in the Core Data APIs or SQLite database, which involves cross-team prioritization and scheduling. If a senior developer is given the choice of working on a new user-facing feature vs cleaning up somebody else's mess, the former is more attractive.

I'd personally like to see some collaborative features -- and not just LAN-style, but cloud-based. Even small distributed teams who don't share a LAN/SAN could benefit. Unfortunately to do that well and reliably -- and test it thoroughly -- is another hard problem.


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Bill Davis
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 2, 2019 at 8:28:05 am

Yes, EVERYONE on the planet is holding it wrong.
(Happy to satisfy at least one New Years wish for someone on Jan 1!)

That checkbox ticked, all I want for 2019 is a continuation of what happened for me over the past year.

I had my strongest year (and particularly fourth quarter) EVER - thanks in no small part to FCP X. In fact, it was so busy it messed up my end of year plans and I couldn’t even get to the Creative Summit for the first time!

The icing on the cake was about a week ago when the team I work most with got the news that we landed a nice new client after a 5 agency review. In the midst of an already hectic year-end production run an agency head I do work for called me and said “I’ve got a kinda crazy idea, could you work with me on it as a spec deal?)

Turned out to be pretty edgy (but cool) idea for a client in a VERY traditional industry not known for taking chances.

So Linda and I I sat with him and comped a set of two pitch spots in less than 4 hours start to finish.

At the pitch, the agency head was a little unsure of using the edgy idea, but near the end he decided to show ONE of those comps. When the client called with the news that they were awarding our team the work, the feedback was that their board of directors respected the guts it took to pitch something so unusual.. The feedback was that it made THAT presentation really stand out and so the board kept getting drawn back to it to talk about it again and again.

For me, the confidence and speed of FCP X is all about knowing that the tool gets out of my way now so there’s very modest cost in time and effort to trying out slightly crazy ideas and seeing if they work. I don’t have to tell anyone how brutal this competitive landscape can be.And I’m starting to feel that just playing it “safe” will increasingly be anything but.

Anyway, the old days of feeling so much “on the clock” time pressure is pretty much gone. And that’s worth a lot!

If that spirit keeps going in 2019 I’ll be a very happy guy!

Happy New Year indeed!

Creator of XinTwo - http://www.xintwo.com
The shortest path to FCP X mastery.


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Bob Zelin
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 3, 2019 at 1:05:43 am

I was going to make a long post, but much of my opinion is in Oliver Peter's wonderful Wordpress article.
With that said, I look forward to

1) a new Mac Pro with interchangeable graphics card, user upgradable RAM, and (dare I say it) - PCIe slots (never happen !). How will people react to a $12,000 2019 Mac Pro with a soldered in AMD GPU, soldered in RAM, soldered in 10G ports (unless they are on the motherboard) and no way to pop out the internal boot drive. Would you spend $12,000 for this type of machine ?

2) Apple willing to allow NVidia products to work with the macOS (I am sure there is some crazy story there)

3) Adobe able to fully implement GPU acceleration (like CUDA acceleration) with AMD graphics cards on a Mac

4) I am dying to observe the acceptance of the wonderful Lumaforge shared storage product line, now that Apple is selling it directly. Let's see how that goes in 2019 !

bob Zelin

Bob Zelin
Rescue 1, Inc.
bobzelin@icloud.com


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Ronny Courtens
Re: Thoughts on 2019
on Jan 4, 2019 at 11:08:59 am

Hey Bob!

Thank you for your kind words. We are indeed very happy with the fact that Apple is selling some of our standard models directly, and we also have an Enterprise division now that covers the needs of our larger clients with more complex integrations based on our scale-out Petabyte solutions. I will be on the road in the next months, visiting clients and recording case studies. Would love to talk with you in more detail, I will contact you soon.

- Ronny


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