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Re: Interesting NLE speculation

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Bob Zelin
Re: Interesting NLE speculation
on Oct 26, 2016 at 4:00:00 pm

I thought it was a great and accurate article. The future is not YOU (including me - the old guys) - its the new generation that will not be doing the conventional kind of work that we currently do. The analogy is saying "Adobe Photoshop will never unseat the Quantel Paintbox". Or - "the HP Laser Printer will never affect the printing business".
Or "MP3's will never affect record and CD sales". Because in real life - good enough is good enough. For "us" to remain employed, we must embrace 6K, 8K, and VR, and every other super hi end technology, because "everyone" will be able to edit video, just like everyone can print out professional paper that used to be handled by countless print shops in every town (that no longer exist). And "everyone" is the big market. Has the iPhone (and the Canon 5D, and the cameras that followed it) kicked the ass out of the professional photography market - you bet it has. There are still professional photographers, but not like before. Because NOW - everyone can take a really good picture, and for many of us, it's "good enough".

And when it comes to the future of sales - I look at all of you monkeys (bad example here, because this is a FCP-X forum, and the real old guys won't even be reading a forum like this) - and "we" won't race out to get the latest Apple computer, because we have 2012 Mac Pro's with Nvidia GTX-680 cards and big RAID arrays, which work perfectly fine, and we are going to try to squeeze every ounce of life out of them. But the NEW users (the future) - they don't even own a computer, and when they come in to compete with US, they will buy whatever the hell Apple has for sale, and they will try to compete with us. That is Apple's real market - not us. And they will charge lower rates than us. And we will say how terrible they are, and how unexperienced they are. But they will do a good job (just like we did when we were young), and Apple will sell them a LOT of new computers, and easy to use software, so they can kick our butts.

So yes - this article was (unfortunately) very accurate. WE are not the future.

Bob Zelin

Bob Zelin
Rescue 1, Inc.
bobzelin@icloud.com


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