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Bad news (rumor)

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Alan OkeyBad news (rumor)
by on Feb 27, 2007 at 11:31:02 pm

Just read this on Autodesk's Combustion-news forum:

[Dennis Summers]I know that there has been a lot of talk on this issue, and I figure I may as well comment. Without naming names, or going into too much detail, I have it on good authority (an autodesk rep) that combustion will eventually "fade away". Which is a good way to put it based on what I heard. This person gave me the usual careful qualifiers as to how anything could change, but it seems likely that autodesk intends on toxik to eventually replace combustion. I too love combustion and think that it fills a niche that nothing else at this point can replace, but it doesn't look good.

If this turns out to be true, then I certainly hope that Autodesk plans to offer Toxik at Combustion's price point. If they pull Combustion without offering a resonable replacement, then I hope they die a very quick and painful death. Maybe I'll go lurk on the edit* forum just to see how it feels...

*sigh*

Comments?



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ayman abdel-bassetRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Feb 28, 2007 at 2:30:33 pm

i think if this is true!

then combustion will die young younger than shake:)
and i think any new user for any product of autodesk (disceet) will not trust the life of its products..where when he b professional into the product they kill the product!...

and i don't know how they can wanna to replace combustion by toxik!
toxik need database connected to it..and other requirments..where combustion is simply installed...

now i remmber (edit&cinestream and software was for flash-can't get its name now-!)all killed haha then it is hobby at autodesk (discreet) ppl to do software's and kill it! that mean there is no good software planing! ...hope combustion doesn't go with them!
and if this happned that mean autodesk Withdrawal form the race with adobe (after effects)!

Ayman



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JusRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Feb 28, 2007 at 4:22:10 pm

Well, it is only just a rumor at the moment.

IMHO I don't think C* evolving into Toxik is such a bad thing...

... which features will remain, which will go...
...what price point...

I'm sure Shake users are confident their replacement (rumorware) will kick-ass.

I'm not one for mixing metaphors, but don't count your chickens until they've crossed the road
;-)


Justin Stint.


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Dean DeCarloRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Feb 28, 2007 at 6:22:08 pm


Well, it sucks to be a user who depends on this product to have little to no feeling of permanence. I don't think I'd feel that way if I was using AE or Fusion. It's obvious those companies are behind their products. I'm really tired of these rumors. We've built a pipeline that is dependent on Combustion. Am I supposed to feel comfortable with that? I believe in this product. I wish someone from Autodesk would have the sack to pipe up and at least let us know whether or not these rumors are bs. When you take this long between updates you've got to put something out there. And BTW if they cancel Combustion the LAST thing I would do is invest in more Autodesk software just on principal alone. Also Toxik was a mess the last time I saw it. Not ready for production it looked to me.



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Christopher WrightRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Feb 28, 2007 at 9:36:34 pm

The only way they can redeem themselves is to offer smoke for the same price as FCP ;>)!!


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Mark KauffmanRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Feb 28, 2007 at 11:00:04 pm

Well, here's my 2 schillings for what it's worth. While I love combustion and use it daily, it's underlying technology seems a bit stretched relative to the current processor/OS technology and might be in line for a major overhaul. Now, do you rebuild the product or start with something newer and more flexible? In this case, Toxic could fit the bill to a certain extent. If you were to take some of combustions functionality and add it to Toxix which can handle large collaborative workflows, floating point color, and huge file sizes and you have one hell of a product. Maybe sell 2 versions. One without all the database backend and one with.

Another thing to consider is the changes in the systems group. Though mostly systems products like Flame were targeted, why not go after combustion as well. I don't know, this is all accedemic anyway.

Mark Kauffman
kauffman@paradigmranch.com


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Dean DeCarloRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 1, 2007 at 4:06:04 am


True the underlying code in Combustion definitely seems long in the tooth. The idea of a Combustion / Toxic hybrid seems like fantasy to me. At the development pace they are at it would take years for Toxik to have most of the tools Combustion has now. Combustion works for me now and aside from general buginess there isn't anything glaringly missing. If they bail development I'll continue to use it for a while to be sure. After that though I'd never give Autodesk another penny. I had good friends who had Edit systems and I used to rely on two excellent o2 Flints which they EOLed because they didn't fit in to the pricing structure. They have not done right by me so far but there is always hope.



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Christopher WrightRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 1, 2007 at 7:43:39 am

Yes, I was one of those good friends! I was even a beta tester for the edit/combustion integration "dream team," which would have killed Avid and FCP a long time ago. After receiving the same type of questionnaire recently about combustion that I received just before they decided to EOL edit*, I think the writing is on the wall!


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Janis JansonsRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 1, 2007 at 10:03:13 am

Companies like this or other one are building the future the way THEY like it.
Once we were happy about combustion or edit but it lasts only until they decide what will be next to rave about.
Just my opinion.

Also tired of rumors,
Janis


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Phil RadelatRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 2, 2007 at 4:09:44 pm

Hmmm, I drop into the forum for the first time in a while and I see...the same old story. All this was pretty obvious to me quite a while back when C was dumped from the discreet lineup, and the once impressive website for C turn into less than a press release. At Siggraph, you would've been hard-pressed to know the product even existed.

It's obvious autodesk wants to deal strictly with big money. You know it's only a matter of time before Max and Maya become one, and guess how much that will be licensed? They milk the crap out of studios with the subscription license they're dishing out for all the discreet products. Stuff like C is nothing but a nuisance.

That said, if your using C in your present pipeline, you have enough inertia in the existing app to allow you to start looking into modern alternatives. On the "low" end, there's really only really AE, a product that while probably annoying for most C users to deal with, has a strong development, user, and support base. It's the obvious app to jump to. Jashaka looks like it coming along, although it's still a long way off, and dependent on the GPU to process data, so no multithreading. Cheap enough to farm, tho. :-)

As is, C is a capable compositor for the vast majority of comps, and even if it dies tomorrow it'll be quite useful for a long time. I wouldn't sweat it too much. It would certainly be clear that autodesk is not a company that you ever want to deal with again if they dump C. You certainly have plenty of 3D options if you wanted to jump ship from Max or Maya. Lightwave for one cost peanuts in comparison, is multiplatform and can be farmed on Linux no less.

So I wouldn't worry too much about C dying. You should never put all your eggs in one basket in this business anyway, and as Mr. Spock would say, "There are always alternatives". :-)


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Alan OkeyRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 2, 2007 at 9:13:44 pm

[Phil Radelat] "So I wouldn't worry too much about C dying. You should never put all your eggs in one basket in this business anyway, and as Mr. Spock would say, "There are always alternatives". :-)"

True enough. I've had a chance to check out Fusion recently, and it's really, really nice - it puts Combustion to shame in a lot of ways. Although it is 5X the price of Combustion, it has some really great tools that make it a very attractive option. Fusion is what Combustion should have become by version 4.

For the type of work I do, it's worth it for me to save up and buy Fusion rather than suffer with After Effects (ugh!).


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Dean DeCarloRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 3, 2007 at 12:05:13 am

I agree with you Phil. The recurring "Is combustion going to be ditched?" theme is a bore and a bummer. So, what are you using since I assume you aren't using Combustion?


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Eric CraftRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 3, 2007 at 6:57:18 am

I really doubt it is going to die until Toxic is a capable replacement. However, they are still working on it, I am guessing. I was just sent some information on some Cases I have reported to them. One they have hopefully resolved which involves EXR and alpha issues. The other is an audio issue that they are still trying to track down the cause. So they are still working on it, and don't think it is dead until they come out and say it. I was told that alot of time was spent on trying to get the Mac Universal Binary out, which probably took time out of Combustion 5 dev. Again, I don't think they would put time into to doing that if they were just going to kill it.

-Eric


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Christopher WrightReality
by on Mar 3, 2007 at 8:52:58 pm

I think Phil is absolutely correct that Autodesk is only wanting to go after the "big studio bucks." The problem is, these expensive proprietary systems are actually the ones that are getting "long in the tooth." Even the big studio players are more and more reticent to invest in these revenue drainers. The post world will revolve around the best inexpensive software running on ever faster computers. The problem with Janice's analogy, that "these companies decide what they want 'the future' to be" becomes problematic when their expensive proprietary systems no longer appeal to the market or reality. "Their future" could then resemble that of the dinosaur.


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David Roth WeissRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 4, 2007 at 6:18:52 am

[Eric Craft] "I really doubt it is going to die until Toxic is a capable replacement."

Eric,

You are applying logic to a situation long ago created by a bunch of money-grubbers from Montreal who sold out to a bunch of money-grubbers from Silicon Valley. The people running these companies could care less about fixing your issues with Combustion or about your next purchase, they simply have a few people under contract for a few more months who, as part of their job, are doing what they can to help. After that, you're simply dead meat to Autodesk. Combustion probably represents about .001 percent of their business, and as such its just a liability. So, don't expect to Autodesk to cuddle with you after they screw you, that's not their style, just ask anyone who experienced the EOL of Edit*.

DRW



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JusRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 4, 2007 at 10:24:11 am


Well, Im sorry but that's a pretty disappointing read in what has been an objectively discussed thread so far.

I thought name calling was barred here? Clearly the rule doesn't apply to companies... Even those that have mutual representation on these forums.

Justin Citement


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Ron LindeboomRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 4, 2007 at 1:36:56 pm

[Jus] "I thought name calling was barred here? Clearly the rule doesn't apply to companies... Even those that have mutual representation on these forums."

The rule exists and that's why I edited out the words...though I have left the intent and the character of DRW's original invective.

There is no "mutual" here at the COW (at least not when it comes to Autodesk/Discreet). We do not get the time of day from Autodesk/Discreet.

You might be able to guess why,

Ron Lindeboom


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David Roth WeissRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 4, 2007 at 7:06:14 pm

Justin,

I offer no pretense of objectivity. Why should I, I was quite subjectively involved with Discreet and Autodesk for years. It would be completely dishonest to fein any objectivity.

For your information, I was running a very sucessful business that was built around Discreet Edit*. Then, Discreet sold out to Autodesk, who EOLed Edit* just when it was poised to achieve greatness. Edit* was running circles around the other NLE software at the time -- it had full integration with your beloved Combustion, which made E&C the most powerful set of desktop editing tools on the market. Autodesk essentially killed my business almost overnight...

And, to make matters worse, Autodesk was completely unceremonious in its EOLing Edit* and completely unsympathetic to its loyal customers. After refusing to sell the product code to anyone who wanted to take it further, their lawyers suddenly began to enforce the fine print in their software licensing agreement, thus forbiding owners to sell the software. In other words, they were screwing us and they made no bones about it.

So, now that you know the facts do you still maintain the belief that objectivity is in order? Is it even possible?

DRW


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Rayk HemmerlingRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 10:39:24 am

hi drw,

while i can understand the emotional impact when autodesk eol'ed edit and for sure i'd been downed by that news,too, but there's one point, I do not get when arguments like yours arise in a discussion like this one: when autodesk eol'ed edit from one day to the other, did that meant that you couldn't use edit anymore? did the program suddenly stopped running from that day on?

if autodesk stops dev'ing c*, i still can do roto, keying and comp'ing with c*. i'll do so maybe for another year to come, or two, or even more. the knowledge of how to key, roto and comp'ing doesn't go away just because c* might be eol'ed. i may need some days or weeks to find my way around in a new compositing software, maybe some months to know it insight-out, but i can continue to generate revenue.

software, as any other industrial product, exists in cycles. it is born as a new product, it grows, gets more mature and eventually, it will evolve in a new product or simply fade away. you accept it with cars, why not with software?

frankly, i wander what it is what autodesk does so much different than other companies that let the users worry so much about the companies confidence in its own products?
if i ask adobe about the future of photoshop, i'm certain, i do not get a definite answer; beside the usual 'we'll continue to develop ... blablabla'.
don't get me wrong, if it comes to discreet/autodesks pr for combustion it's one of my peeves with that company, but i actually can't put my fingers on what it really is.

cheers!
-rayk


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David Roth WeissRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 2:13:36 pm

Rayk,

In answer to your question, while the decision to EOL Edit* did have immediate and profound effects, no, it did not mean that the app quit working the next day. In fact, I will admit that some people are still using it even now, five or six years later. However, the majority of those people are most likely still acquiring everything on Betacam today, just as they were way back then.

Keep in mind that Edit 6.0, the last full release of Edit*, was built on the ancient Windows NT platform, with no Firewire, no USB, and no DV support. Edit 6.5 on Windows 2000 had been released, but, it was essentially beta software, with a whole array of major bugs that made it unsuitable for most professional work. The decision to EOL the app came just two weeks before NAB, after all expectations had been set in place for the major release of the completely revamped Edit* 7.0.

For the record, the EOL of Edit* did have a huge impact on my business almost immediately. In the major markets, such as L.A. where I'm based, the EOL created an immediate loss of faith in the product on the part of facilities and their customers, causing most facilities to abandon their Edit* systems just as quickly as they possibly could. Freelance work at those facilities, a large part of my business model, effectively dried up overnight. In addition, the substancial investment I had made in software and hardware was suddenly worthless -- the retail price of Edit* software was initially $15,000, and Combustion $5000 in those days, not the drop in bucket we are used to paying for desktop apps today. So, at a time while cash flow was already severely diminished, staying in business suddenly meant complete retooling, complete revamping of workflow, and retraining on all new hardware and software. It took me several years to recover. Many others simply went out of business.

So, there you have it... It was all very painful, and as you now know, it clearly had a profound impact on me. It was the same for several thousand others like me around the world. This is why I have no love for Discreet and Autodesk.

DRW



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Rayk HemmerlingRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 3:26:45 pm

David,

be assured, I can relate to your struggle you must have been through back those days.
I was doing 3d arch-viz back then, but the story of edit* was on my radar as much as that I couldn't understand discreets decision at that time, nor can I understand it today.
But the question remains, how do you expect a company to deal with certain situations?
I mean even apple didn't announced the end of shake 6 month before they actual axed it. They said: 'that's it' and that was it. Period.
Imho, discreet/autodesk got this bad reputation because nowbody could understand their disicion to end edit*. a desicion which seems to be made right out of the blue.
maybe the situation would have been different if am&e issued patches on a more regular bases, maybe even a point-release. well, show a bit more that it is behind this product. me, maybe you and others users as well, would feel much more comfortable, but at the end am&e would end c* from one day to another with just a single press realse.

"it easy to lose a good reputation, but it very hard to earn them back"

best,
-rayk


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Dean DeCarloRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 3:44:58 pm


Unfortunately Discreet (autodesk) isn't to be trusted. Flint had a great name and they killed it. After much user protest they brought it back but then killed the Effect option 3 (Flint on O2) of which I had 2 and had invested about $100k in over a few years. The excuse was that the o2's hardware wasn't up to the future of the software. Somewhat true maybe but it was clear that the o2 did too much at too low a price point compared to Flame and the new flint on Octane. Now Combustion has a good rep. (in my circles) and is thought of as kind of Flame jr. I'm thinking it's happening all over again. I agree that Autodesk is much more interested in going after the big sales than caring for a $1k program. Too bad. If they do end it, and I hope they don't, I hope they'll at least sell the code to someone who can develop it. It still amazes me that after all this time they don't have really strong competition at either the high end or low end. Aside from AE of course.



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Janis JansonsRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 6, 2007 at 11:01:48 am

[Dean DeCarlo] "I hope they'll at least sell the code to someone who can develop it"

It has been absolute oposite so far or have I missed something?

Janis


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Eric SuschRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 9:52:20 pm

There


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Rayk HemmerlingRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 6, 2007 at 10:58:15 am

Eric,
Dean,

thank you for sharing your opinions and giving my pov some broader perspectives.

best,
-rayk


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JusRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 10:53:11 am

David

If you'd written what you just wrote as your first post - I wouldn't have said anything.

It is sad that we're still having discussions about how "bad" Discreet/Autodesk are but I totally accept the past and present situations.

In no way am I interested in censure of anyone's opinion - I simply objected to the language as there are people on this forum who contribute a significant amount that also have more direct input with the product development through their association with Autodesk.

Justin



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David Roth WeissRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 2:21:34 pm

[Jus] "If you'd written what you just wrote as your first post - I wouldn't have said anything."

Justin,

Its pretty obvious that I still hold a lot emnity and contempt for both Discreet and Autodesk and I guess that may never go away. All I can say is that when emotions run high, none of us is at his or her best... I'm sorry if I offended anyone.

DRW


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Eric SuschRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 4, 2007 at 8:04:12 am

[Eric Craft] "I was told that alot of time was spent on trying to get the Mac Universal Binary out, which probably took time out of Combustion 5 dev. Again, I don't think they would put time into to doing that if they were just going to kill it."

Well, a similar thing actually happened when they killed edit. For months they put lots of development resources into porting edit to new hardware then fired everybody six weeks before the release. You should never assume that Autodesk is going to do the logical thing.

It saddens me to see threads like these with people making the same assumptions that we made back in the day before they killed edit. If any of you depend on Combustion for your business, make sure you have your back covered, because if they dump it you will be the last to know (even if you're a beta tester.)

____________________________________

Eric Susch

http://www.LetsKnit2gether.com


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Phil RadelatRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 12:16:54 am

>>So, what are you using since I assume you aren't using Combustion? <<

Oh, I still use C. It serves me well. I have no problems with this end-of-life situation, as I've expected it for quite some time now. As I mentioned, the more important thing is to understand that it is a capable compositor as-is, and to use it as such. Eventually as we move on to 64-bit processing and higher expectations from comp apps, C will go away.

Like I said, AE still has Adobe's support behind it, and for me I would probably soldier on with that app if I have to, finicky interface and all. It'd be great if C's source code somehow leaked out into the ivoid after autodesk dumps it, eh? :-D

Looking at the postings on this forum, it looks like C is already dead. I think that, for bread and butter reasons, people are just embracing AE and dealing with it. No doubt AE won the "low end" comp wars. I remember when I first started using C in version 2.x, it was light-years ahead of AE. Now AE has caught up and is passing it as it continues to develop.

Support. A great thing for an app to have.

From the independent compositor/post operator perspective, it's important to rule autodesk out of your life. Like I mentioned, eventually Max and Maya will evolve into some monster, and it'll be integrated into the high-end discreet lineup as another licensed scam from autodesk. If you haven't noticed, 3D process developments run much faster than compositing developments. It's not a good idea to be dependent on these two 3D apps for your 3D bread and butter, at least not completely, because it's only a matter of time before the rug gets pulled out on you again.


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JusRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 1:20:00 pm

[Phil Radelat] "Looking at the postings on this forum, it looks like C is already dead"

Interesting assumption. Do you think that the chatter on this forum is an accurate reflection of the product and its preception in the marketplace?

I think not personally. :)

Justin Credulous


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Phil RadelatRe: Bad news (rumor)
by on Mar 5, 2007 at 4:09:16 pm

>>Do you think that the chatter on this forum is an accurate reflection of the product and its preception in the marketplace?<<

Frankly, yes. Do you know of any larger C user base forum? Look at the daily production questions asked any number of forums here on the Cow like, say, the AE forum, the Max forum, the Particle Illusion forum, the Vegas forum, etc. and then look here. Now, either C users have become quite a competent and proficient bunch (and hey, you never know :-) ) and have no need to ask questions anymore, or they're all moving elsewhere to get their comp work done.


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