I think it's amazing that Smoke is now only $3500 and it's still hard to really justify. I think Resolve for $1000 really changed everything and the other guys are reeling from that one. Smoke is best as a video Swiss Army knife but there are other ways to do everything it does better. It will be interesting to see what shakes out in the next couple of years. I think eventually things will stabilize somewhat but right now things are changing to fast and there are too many options to sink a lot of money in one thing - unless you have a project right now that will pay for it.
Robert Brown
Editor/VFX/Colorist - FCP, Smoke, Quantel Pablo, After Effects, 3DS MAX, Premiere Pro
http://vimeo.com/user3987510/videos