You both are at the heart of the matter.
I speculate -- based upon what Sony told me -- that Sony will position HDV as a "consumer-only HD format."
I speculate there will be a Sony "proHDV" format that is 4:2:2 with much lower compression running at 35Mbps or 50Mbps.
This equipmentI I speculate will be expensive -- definitely not "prosumer." I would guess that it will bring HD to videographers at 1/2 the cost of HDCAM.
So for those that want high quality, they will be able to buy it. And for those without money, they will have to live with HDV.
If you think about this -- it's DV verses DVCAM/DVCPRO all over again.
Best Regards,
Steve Mullen
Digital Video Consulting NYC
http://www.mindspring.com/~d-v-c
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"GR-HD1 and JY-HD10 HDV Shooting Guide"
HDVcinema Partner -- Real-time HDV Editing in FCP in cooperation with the Heuris Indie HD Tool